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Belay Birlie Yimer

Embrace uncertainty, be adaptive, be robust, and scale well!

About

I'm a statistician (Postdoctoral Research Associate) at the University of Manchester, Center for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis.

I obtained my Ph.D. in Statistics from Hasselt University, Belgium, MSc in Biostatistics from Jimma University and BSc in applied statistics from Hawassa University, Ethiopia.

As a statistician, I specialized in Bayesian and computational statistics, with a particular focus on building flexible statistical models, including multilevel/hierarchical models, multistate survival models, and additive and additive mixed-effects modelling. I've applied these methods to problems arising from infectious diseases (e.g., short-term COVID-19 forecasting, malaria vector distribution over time, and time-to-treatment switching in HIV-positive patients) and chronic diseases (e.g., daily pain severity modelling and individual heterogeneity quantification).

Since September 2017, I have been working at the University of Manchester as a Research Associate in Biostatistics, contributing to the design, analysis and reporting of epidemiological studies. Before joining the University of Manchester, I worked as a lecturer (Assistant Professor) of statistics at Jimma University, Ethiopia. During my time at Jimma University, I led the Principles of statistical inference course for the Master's program in Biostatistics and supervised eight MSc student dissertation projects. In addition, I co-led two VLIR–UOS-funded capacity-building projects in statistics.