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Belay Birlie Yimer

Embrace uncertainty, be adaptive, be robust, and scale well!

Scientific contributions

Full details of my publications can be found here:

Selected Methodological papers 

  1. Belay B. Yimer, Martin Otava, Teshome Degefa, Delenasaw Yewhalaw and Ziv Shkedy (2021). “Bayesian Model averaging in longitudinal studies using Bayesian variable selection methods”, Communication in statistics: Computation and simulation, https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2021.1914088
  2. Belay B. Yimer and Ziv Shkedy (2021). “Bayesian inference for Generalised liner mixed models: A comparison of different statistical software procedures”, https://doi.org/10.1080/27658449.2021.1896102
  3. Belay B. Yimer, Roel Braekers, Tadesse Awoke, Adetayo Kasim, and Ziv Shkedy (2017). "Multi-state models for the analysis of time-to-treatment modification among HIV patients under highly active antiretroviral therapy in Southwest Ethiopia." BMC infectious diseases 17, no. 1: 453. 10.1186/s12879-017-2533-3
  4. Banbeta, Akalu, Dinberu Seyoum, Tefera Belachew, Belay B. Yimer, and Yehenew Getachew (2015). "Modeling time-to-cure from severe acute malnutrition: application of various parametric frailty models." Archives of Public Health 73, no. 1: 6. 10.1186/2049-3258-73-6
  5. Seid, Awol, Muluye Getie, Belay B. Yimer, and Yehenew Getachew (2014). "Joint modeling of longitudinal CD4 cell counts and time-to-default from HAART treatment: a comparison of separate and joint models." Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis 7, no. 2: 292-314. 10.1285/i20705948v7n2p292

Selected Epidemiology papers 

  1. McBeth, John, William G. Dixon, Susan Mary Moore, Bruce Hellman, Ben James, Simon D. Kyle, Mark Lunt, Lis Cordingley, Birlie Yimer, and Katie L. Druce. "Sleep Disturbance and Quality of Life in Rheumatoid Arthritis: Prospective mHealth Study." Journal of medical Internet research 24, no. 4 (2022): e32825.https://www.jmir.org/2022/4/e32825/ . 
  2. Yimer BB, Schultz DM, Beukenhorst AL, Lunt M, Pisaniello HL, House T, Sergeant JC, McBeth J, Dixon WG. Heterogeneity in the association between weather and pain severity among patients with chronic pain: a Bayesian multilevel regression analysis. Pain Rep. 2022 Jan 12;7(1):e963. doi: 10.1097/PR9.0000000000000963. PMID: 35047712; PMCID: PMC8759613.
  3. Jani M, Birlie Yimer B, Sheppard T, Lunt M, Dixon WG (2020) Time trends and prescribing patterns of opioid drugs in UK primary care patients with non-cancer pain: A retrospective cohort study. PLoS Med 17(10): e1003270. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003270. 
  4. Costello, Ruth E., Belay B. Yimer, Polly Roads, Meghna Jani, and William G. Dixon. "Glucocorticoid use is associated with an increased risk of hypertension." Rheumatology (2020).
  5. Dixon, William G., Anna L. Beukenhorst, Belay B. Yimer, Louise Cook, Antonio Gasparrini, Tal El-Hay, Bruce Hellman et al. "How the weather affects the pain of citizen scientists using a smartphone app." NPJ digital medicine 2, no. 1 (2019): 1-9.
  6. Awoke, Tadesse, Alemayehu Worku, Yigzaw Kebede, Adetayo Kasim, Belay Birlie, Roel Braekers, Khangelani Zuma, and Ziv Shkedy. "Modeling outcomes of first-line antiretroviral therapy and rate of CD4 counts change among a cohort of HIV/AIDS patients in Ethiopia: A retrospective cohort study." PloS one 11, no. 12 (2016): e0168323.
  7. Birlie, Belay, T. Diriba, K. Sisay, A. Gurmessa, D. Seyoum, and M. Tadesse. "Mother to child HIV transmission and its predictors among HIV-exposed infants: a retrospective follow-up study in Southwest Ethiopia." J AIDS Clin Res 7, no. 605 (2016): 2.
  8. Degefa, Teshome, Ahmed Zeynudin, Ameyu Godesso, Yohannes Haile Michael, Kasahun Eba, Endalew Zemene, Daniel Emana, Belay Birlie, Kora Tushune, and Delenasaw Yewhalaw. "Malaria incidence and assessment of entomological indices among resettled communities in Ethiopia: a longitudinal study." Malaria journal 14, no. 1 (2015): 24.

Preprints 

  1. BayesGmed: An R-package for Bayesian Causal Mediation Analysis arxiv
  2. Modelling and classifying joint trajectories of self-reported mood and pain in a large cohort study arxiv
  3. Development and validation of patient-level prediction models for adverse outcomes following total knee arthroplasty medrxiv